Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 8.152176 9.045298 10.019447 11.164902 12.480027 13.948735 15.721448
2025-11-30 6.872375 8.040628 9.403894 11.126522 13.265469 15.860928 19.290136
2025-12-07 5.935357 7.183297 8.704451 10.720342 13.360123 16.754302 21.540645
2025-12-14 5.202468 6.459456 8.043434 10.221584 13.196223 17.203807 23.167507
2025-12-21 4.734885 6.010733 7.665824 10.017445 13.352614 18.042027 25.379945
2025-12-28 4.743309 6.173938 8.092017 10.921964 15.116900 21.323151 31.647549
2026-01-04 4.527420 6.007970 8.044555 11.140003 15.893824 23.224811 36.058438
2026-01-11 4.195131 5.650779 7.693401 10.871306 15.890938 23.894971 38.505828
2026-01-18 4.054057 5.551847 7.700735 11.132823 16.730092 26.005835 43.790707
2026-01-25 3.808618 5.282559 7.433803 10.940708 16.806095 26.830203 46.833456
2026-02-01 3.600738 5.054354 7.210542 10.794615 16.936015 27.750539 50.198557
2026-02-08 3.406288 4.833731 6.982603 10.619053 16.991797 28.533024 53.405509
2026-02-15 3.199251 4.588404 6.710102 10.364527 16.913483 29.113048 56.430039
2026-02-22 3.053144 4.429158 6.563862 10.311966 17.195476 30.425710 61.356242
2026-03-01 2.854916 4.176441 6.250309 9.943764 16.852233 30.447599 63.299097
2026-03-08 2.655891 3.912244 5.902668 9.489691 16.302646 29.979703 63.973642
2026-03-15 2.524349 3.749673 5.713424 9.303723 16.252129 30.548630 67.357911
2026-03-22 2.587829 3.906038 6.066021 10.127080 18.281419 35.900778 84.633230
2026-03-29 2.535469 3.867553 6.082499 10.325303 19.058940 38.573668 95.329067
2026-04-05 2.413315 3.705928 5.875391 10.081012 18.878063 38.969086 99.378096
2026-04-12 2.376007 3.685919 5.915908 10.318776 19.759474 42.069375 112.789165
2026-04-19 2.277704 3.556615 5.753907 10.144123 19.711554 42.837207 118.794084
2026-04-26 2.191681 3.444765 5.617593 10.011260 19.744856 43.821456 125.868078